Watch Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway 2021 Live: team news, kickoff time, predictions, live Online
The green flag will drop on the 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday as the NASCAR Cup Series heads to its first 1.5-mile oval of the season. Homestead-Miami Speedway used to be the site of the season-finale, so drivers like Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick have plenty of experience since they were crowned champions here in recent years. On Sunday, Denny Hamlin will start on the pole to lead a 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 starting lineup of 38 drivers.
Hamlin won at Homestead-Miami last June and is listed as the 9-2 favorite in the 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Before you scour the 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 starting grid and make your NASCAR at Homestead predictions for Sunday, be sure to see the latest 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick’s win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.
At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick’s fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed its NASCAR picks has seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2021 NASCAR at Homestead-Miami race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected leaderboard for the 2021 Dixie Vodka 400.
Top 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 predictions
The model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he’s a 12-1 long shot in the latest 2021 NASCAR at Miami odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 27-year-old has made the NASCAR playoffs the last four seasons, and the four-time NASCAR Cup Series winner will try to right the ship after failing to crack the top 10 in his first two races of 2021.
Blaney has improved his finish at Homestead-Miami in his last three races at the track and recorded a third-place finish after leading 70 laps in the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400. Blaney also finished seventh or better in the last four NASCAR races on 1.5-mile ovals last season.
And a massive shocker: Denny Hamlin, the top Vegas favorite at 9-2, stumbles big time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 field. After winning seven times in 2020 before a disappointing fourth-place finish in the standings, Hamlin has jumped out to an early lead in the 2021 NASCAR standings with a fifth-place finish in the Daytona 500 and a podium finish on the road course last weekend.
Hamlin won at Homestead-Miami last season, but it was his first finish of better than seventh since a win in 2013. He finished fourth in Phoenix when he needed a win to capture his first-ever NASCAR Cup Series championship, ninth at Texas Speedway two weeks prior, and 15th at Kansas the week before that.
How to make 2021 NASCAR at Homestead-Miami picks
The model is also targeting four other drivers with NASCAR at Homestead-Miami odds 2021 of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all the NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2021 Dixie Vodka 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Hamlin’s win at the 2020 Daytona 500.